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SysRisk has produced a final project report, which was presented to an audience of case study participants and wider stakeholders in December 2021. A number of academic papers are being prepared for publication and will also appear here.

SysRisk Final Report, December 2021

SysRisk Final Report Presentation Event, 16 December 2021

Related reading

A selection of other reports on complex / systemic risk which may be of interest:

Adler C, Hadorn G (2014) The IPCC and treatment of uncertainties: Topics and sources of dissensus. Wiley Interdiscip Rev Clim Chang 5:663–676. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.297 

Aven T, Renn O (2015) An Evaluation of the Treatment of Risk and Uncertainties in the IPCC Reports on Climate Change. Risk Anal 35:701–712. https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.12298 

Bradshaw C, Ehrlich P, Beattie A, et al (2021) Response: Commentary: Underestimating the Challenges of Avoiding a Ghastly Future. Front Conserv Sci 1:615419. https://doi.org/10.3389/fcosc.2020.615419 

Brooks D, Hober E, Boager W, et al (2020) Before The Pandemic Ends: Making Sure This Never Happens Again. World Complex Sci Acad J 1:1–10. https://doi.org/10.46473/wcsaj27240606/15-05-2020-0002//full/html 

Buldyrev S, Parshani R, Paul G, et al (2010) Catastrophic cascade of failures in interdependent networks. Nature 464:1025–1028. https://doi.org/10.1038/nature08932 

Cabinet Office (2017) National Risk Register Of Civil Emergencies. London. Available from: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/national-risk-register-of-civil-emergencies-2017-edition 

Challinor A, Benton T (2021) International Dimensions. In: Betts R, Haward A, Pearson K (eds) The Third UK Climate Change Risk Assessment Technical Report. Climate Change Committee, London. Available from: https://www.ukclimaterisk.org/independent-assessment-ccra3/technical-report/ 

Goldstein J, Tallis H, Linou N, et al (2019) Bigger Change Faster: Integrated development, health, and environment actions for a sustainable future. Available online

Harmáčková Z, Blättler L, Aguiar A, et al (2021) Linking multiple values of nature with future impacts: value-based participatory scenario development for sustainable landscape governance. Sustain Sci. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-021-00953-8 

Hildén M, Lahn G, Carter T, et al (2020) Cascading Climate Impacts: A New Factor in European Policy-Making. https://www.cascades.eu/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/CASCADES_Policy_Brief_1_0-4.pdf 

Hilton S, Baylon C (2020) Risk Management in the UK: What can we learn from COVID-19 and are we prepared for the next disaster? Cambridge. Available from: https://www.cser.ac.uk/resources/risk-management-uk/ 

HM.Government (2018) UK Biological Security Strategy. London. Available from: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/biological-security-strategy 

Kuokkanen A, Mikkilä M, Kuisma M, et al (2017) The need for policy to address the food system lock-in: A case study of the Finnish context. J Clean Prod 140:933–944. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jclepro.2016.06.171 

Ord T, Mercer A, Dannreuther S, et al (2021) Future Proof: the opportunity to transform the UK’s resilience to extreme risks. Available from: https://www.cser.ac.uk/resources/future-proof/ 

School of International Futures (2021) A National Strategy for the Next Generations. Available from: https://soif.org.uk/leading-thinking/a-national-strategy-for-the-next-generations/ 

Shallowe A, Szymczyk A, Firebrace E, et al (2020) A Stitch in Time? Realising the value of futures and foresight. Available from: https://www.thersa.org/reports/futures-thinking-foresight 

Sharpe S, Mercure J-F, Vinuales J, et al (2021) Deciding how to decide : Risk-opportunity analysis as a generalisation of cost-benefit analysis. Available online

Tallis H, Kreis K, Olander L, et al (2019) Aligning evidence generation and use across health, development, and environment. Curr Opin Environ Sustain 39:81–93. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2019.09.004

Tallis H, Kreis K, Olander L, et al (2017) Collaborative Practitioner’s Guide: Principles and Guidance for Cross-sector Action Planning and Evidence Evaluation. Washington DC. http://bridgecollaborativeglobal.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/Bridge-Collaborative-Principles-and-Guidance-2017.pdf 

United Nations (2019) Development Report 2019: The Future Is Now – Science For Achieving Sustainable Development. New York. Available from: https://sustainabledevelopment.un.org/gsdr2019 

Warnell K, Olander L, Mason S (2018) Ecosystem Services Conceptual Model Application: Bureau of Land Management Solar Energy Development. National Ecosystem Services Partnership Conceptual Model Series No. 2. Durham NC. Available from: https://nicholasinstitute.duke.edu/publications/ecosystem-services-conceptual-model-application-bureau-land-management-solar-energy 

World Economic Forum (2021) The Global Risks Report 2021: 16th Edition. Geneva. http://www3.weforum.org/docs/WEF_The_Global_Risks_Report_2021.pdf